Cash Grain Commentary by Cash Grain Bids Inc  

  Corn And Bean Basis Up Since the 1st

 

Corn basis continues to gain ground slowly. Since the first of the month corn basis is up across the country, with considerable gains of 5 to 10 cents along the Eastern Seaboard and down the Mississippi. The rest of the country saw basis increase anywhere from 1 to 5 cents since the beginning of the month.




The good news is that basis continued to rally this past week, and a few key locations are seeing this year's basis meet or beat last year's corn basis at this time. Basis narrowed by six cents at Evansville, making the current basis a penny higher than last year's levels. Strong gains were seen at other key markets as well. Davenport's basis edged up 7 cents this week and Mendota, Illinois saw basis narrow by 5 cents.

Corn Basis For Select Markets

City
State
Current
One week Ago
One Year Ago
Clinton
IA
-9
-12
-6
Coon Rapids
IA
-39
-41
-33
Davenport
IA
-15
-22
-8
Eddyville
IA
-17
-19
-15
Mendota
IL
-15
-20
-11
Pekin
IL
-8
-12
-3
Burns Harbor
IN
-13
-16
-7
Evansville
IN
3
-3
2
South Bend
IN
-32
-32
-18
Gulf
LA
40
36
37
Bingham Lake
MN
-51
-52
-39
Marshall
MN
-38
-42
-35
Albion
NE
-37
-41
-30
Columbus
NE
-41
-33
-19
Cincinnati
OH
-2
-6
0
Circleville
OH
-23
-31
-15
Toledo
OH
-30
-32
-24
Big Stone City
SD
-46
-50
-36
Chancellor
SD
-48
-51
-30
Milwaukee
WI
-18
-25
-16
Stanley
WI
-45
-47
-27

The change in soybean basis has been more varied than corn. Northern Minnesota and North Dakota saw basis widen by a penny or two. The remainder of the country saw basis increase. Small gains of a penny or two were seen in the Southeast. Moving North into Illinois and Indiana basis strengthened by as much as 5 cents. Iowa had a strong showing this month, with gains of 5 to 10 cents. Supplies have begun to diminish in the East and basis is moving up aggressively, with Pennsylvania seeing basis improve by 10 to 15 cents.




While soybean basis has moved up considerably this month, we have seen fairly stable basis over the past week. Many key corn locations narrowed by a few cents or were unchanged. This is in contrast to corn, where most of this month's basis action has occurred recently.



Soybean Basis For Select Markets

City
State
Current
One Week Ago
One Year Ago
Cedar Rapids
IA
-26
-30
-42
Davenport
IA
-25
-27
-18
Des Moines
IA
-28
-30
-37
Bloomington
IL
-21
-25
-13
Chicago
IL
-19
-21
-5
Danville
IL
-16
-16
-10
Galesburg
IL
-21
-24
-32
Quincy
IL
-10
-12
-15
Burns Harbor
IN
-25
-25
-14
Evansville
IN
-4
-7
-7
Gulf
LA
34
36
30
Zeeland
MI
-18
-18
-20
Mankato
MN
-39
-42
-33
Raleigh
NC
10
10
5
Hastings
NE
-45
-43
-25
Lincoln
NE
-21
-25
-22
Cincinnati
OH
-10
-11
-6
Circleville
OH
-18
-21
-24
Toledo
OH
-24
-25
-24
Volga
SD
-49
-58
-41

A good number of soybean markets are now posting basis that is several cents above last year's levels. There are much fewer corn markets that have reached this point. Export inspections were strong for both corn and soybeans this week, but with South America's harvest approaching (35% complete in Brazil - 4% in Argentina) this may be the last hurrah for soybean exports. Further corn basis appreciation still seems likely, but soybean basis is looking vulnerable. If the planting intentions report shows a dramatic increase in soybean acreage the basis fallout could be even worse, with the the forward premiums for deferred delivery being hit the hardest.

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